UFC Vegas 64: Fight Removed from Card, First Bet (+450) & Other Notes

With Jailton Almeida vs Maxim Grishin falling from the UFC Vegas 64 lineup, the event is now down to 12 fights remaining for this weekend. Three other fights that were in danger of falling off the card appear to still be on as of now.

Amanda Lemos, Polyana Viana, and Tamires Vidal all were delayed leaving Brazil as their flights to Las Vegas for the event had to be rescheduled due to political unrest that is occurring in the country.

While all three fighters were able to eventually find flights out of Brazil, they will now be running behind in their fight week preparations and could also potentially have issues with cutting weight due to the delay.

Losing Almeida from the lineup, who has now been the victim of four recent cancellations, definitely hurts from a betting perspective as far as I’m concerned because he was my most confident pick. Now it appears I’ll have to wait until UFC 283 in Rio for my next chance.

Despite no longer having Almeida to rely on to bring back some money on this card, there are still a few other fighters that I really like to pick up wins in Vegas this weekend including Grant Dawson, Mario Bautista, Jake Hadley, and Marina Rodriguez.

There are also a handful of underdogs that I feel pretty strongly about early, and I have already placed my opening bet for UFC Vegas 64 that includes one of them.

While Ramona Pascual has not had the best start to her UFC career, I think she has a pretty solid chance of getting her first win with the promotion over Vidal, who is making her UFC debut and now will also have her fight week altered with the delays leaving Brazil.

I think there is a high chance this one goes to the judge’s scorecards, and I’ll take my chances on Pascual being the more well-rounded fighter and that she will benefit from coming down to 135 pounds instead of fighting at featherweight. I want to see both fighters on the scales Friday, but I already put out this early parlay with Pascual to kick things off. Pascual ML is the first leg at +115 odds.

The second leg is Grant Dawson ML. Dawson will be facing off against 12-0 Mark O. Madsen and looking to put the first loss on his perfect career record. Grant will definitely be the toughest competition that Madsen has faced, and I always trust Dawson to fight for my money. I think he can handle the wrestling of Madsen, will be the more dangerous fighter on the feet, and will be able to pick up the decision in this one.

The final leg is Marina Rodriguez Over 2.5 rounds in the main event against Lemos. Rodriguez definitely has the ability to finish this one late in the fight, but I think Lemos will remain competitive and potentially have some success in the first two rounds. Lemos was stopped in the first round earlier this year by Jessica Andrade, however, I would be shocked to see another stoppage so early in this fight. I love Rodriguez to get this one done sometime after the midway point or on the cards.

This three-leg parlay is +451 on DraftKings Sportsbook and I absolutely love all three of the spots involved. If you like this play and decide to trail, best of luck and let us know in the comments!

Be sure to check back on OddSmokerMMA during the next few days leading into the event to find our final picks, full predictions, and complete betting card for UFC Vegas 64.

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One response to “UFC Vegas 64: Fight Removed from Card, First Bet (+450) & Other Notes”

  1. […] a detailed preview of the bottom parlay, check out our UFC Vegas 64 Early Preview post. Be sure to check back leading into the event for more late additions to the OddSmokerMMA […]


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