Fight day has finally arrived for UFC 281, and just like the majority of the MMA community, I absolutely cannot wait for things to get underway and for the first two fighters to make their walks to the octagon to get things underway.
I already posted our Early Betting Card for UFC 281 earlier in the week, which included our first six plays for tonight’s event, so that is where to look for a little more information on our first six plays of our card if you’re interested.
Below is the final OddSmokerMMA UFC 281 Betting Card and some brief descriptions on the new plays that have been added:
The first two new additions are straight prop plays that I wanted to sprinkle: Molly McCann to via TKO/KO at +1200 (BetMGM) and Israel Adesanya to win via TKO/KO in R4/5 at+1700 (FanDuel).
As I mentioned in the OddSmokerMMA Picks & Predictions post, Erin Blanchfield has the tools to get the victory tonight in NYC.
However, if she struggles to find takedowns, and this fight stays on the feet, I feel pretty good about McCann’s chances to pull off another shocking finish to add to her resume.
I decided to sprinkle the R4/5 KO prop for Adesanya since both of these guys are pretty durable and there’s a decent chance Pereira could potentially have some cardio issues if this fight goes deeper than 15 minutes since it will be new territory for him in the octagon.
The next three bets that were added to the card are all straight moneyline bets that were placed on BetUS: Carlos Ulberg (-135), Renato Moicano (-125) and Silvana Gomez Juarez (-115).
Make sure to shop around on your different Sportsbooks to find the best available odds for these, but I like all three fighters to get the job done and that the lines for them are pretty fair (although I waited a bit too long to pull the trigger on the Gomez Juarez bet).
The final play that I added was a three-leg parlay that I absolutely love: Carlos Ulberg ML, Dominick Reyes KO/Sub, and for Adesanya/Pereira to end via knockout at +677 odds on BetMGM.
I think Ulberg will show to be the better striker in his fight against Nicolae Negumereanu and get the win there either by TKO/KO or fairly comfortable decision.
Dominick Reyes and Ryan Spann almost certainly isn’t going to go the full distance tonight, and I really like Reyes in this matchup to bounce back to halt his three-fight losing skid.
And for the final leg to hopefully cash us out, I’m taking a bit of a risk considering the durability of the two fighters involved.
However, when you also consider the power both Adesanya and Pereira possess, I think it’s worth a play at plus money for one of them to find the knockout across twenty-five minutes tonight.
Those will be the twelve plays that we go into the event with tonight here at OddSmokerMMA, but I recommend checking our Twitter accounts for any last minute or live plays that might be added.
With so many amazing fights slated for tonight’s card UFC 281 in New York City, I have no intention of ending the night in the red, so if our slate gets off to a rough start, I will almost certainly be adding some more bets.
If you decide to tail any of these plays (or were already on them), best of luck this weekend and let’s make some money!
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