These are my picks for Week 9 of Dana White’s Contenders Series:
- Brunno Ferreira (-250): Ferreira is 8-0 with a 100% finish rate (5 KO/3 sub) and has faced pretty decent competition to get there. According to Tapology, he’s also affiliated with Evolução Thai MMA, where UFC vet Bruno Silva is also at. Aliu is 10-1 and his only loss was by decision. He also has a 100% finish rate with 6 KO and 4 sub. This should be a fairly close matchup, but I think Ferreira will show to be the more well-rounded fighter. If he can find another stop here and keeps his 100% finish rate intact against a tough opponent on this stage, it’s hard to see Dana White passing on signing him to the UFC. Prop to Watch: Ferreira ITD (-165)
- Raul Rosas Jr (-150): Rosas Jr is only 17 years old and had to receive special permissions from his parents and the commission for this fight. He has a 5-0 record against questionable competition, but he has a 100% finish rate with 4 sub and 1 KO, so he’s done what he should do. Gutierrez will definitely be a step up in competition with a 7-1 record with 6 subs. He comes from a solid camp and has the experience advantage here. However, the UFC jumped through hoops to get Rosas Jr on this card before he turns 18, and I don’t think he misses a chance at history tonight. Prop to Watch: Rosas by Sub (+145)
- Austen Lane (-125): Lane has an 11-3 record with a 100% finish rate (10 KO/1 sub) and has never been the distance as a pro or amateur. All 3 of his losses have come via KO, including one to Greg Hardy on DWCS in 2018. Jacobi has an impressive record at a glance at 6-0-1, however, he has faced mediocre competition as a pro and was 6-3 as an amateur. He’s coming off a Draw that would have been a loss if not for a point deduction on his opponent. Lane has more experience and trust he can find another finish here. Prop to Watch: Lane by KO (+110)
- Nurullo Aliev (-505): Aliev is 6-0 with 5 decision wins and only one stoppage, which makes him an interesting addition to this card and DWCS in general. Wick is 12-5 with 10 stoppage wins (7 sub/3 KO) and all five of his pro losses have been by decision. Aliev is a very dominant grappler, and while he’s shown a tendency to fight decisions, it’s hard to say if he will chase a finish here. Wick has been KOed as an amateur, and Aliev could definitely find a submission during grappling exchanges. I feel comfortable picking Aliev but narrowing down a method is a different story. Prop to Watch: Aliev Ov 1.5 Rounds (-280)
- Jafel Filho (-155): Filho is 13-2 in his career with 9 of them by sub and he’s faced pretty solid competition. Echeurria is 7-0, however, his opponents have been relatively terrible with only 3/16 fighters (including amateur record) having winning records when he’s faced them. Filho also normally fights at 135, meaning he should have some strength advantages facing a natural flyweight. Echeurria has the power to cause problems on the feet, but I think Filho can get this one on the ground enough to find a win. Prop to Watch: Filho by Sub (+175)
Favorite Parlay: Aliev Ov1.5, Lane by KO, and Ferreira ITD at +301 on DraftKings.
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