UFC Orlando is finally upon us, and although we lost the Tracy Cortez vs Amanda Ribas fight just after weigh-ins yesterday due to a medical issue on the Cortez side, we still have a stacked card with 14 fights scheduled for tonight’s event.
Below is the full OddSmokerMMA Betting Card for UFC Orlando, where we currently have 4.5 units out on our tracked plays via BetMMA, plus another unit split between two multi-sport parlays that include the Tyson Fury-Derek Chisora fight:
You might notice my second bet on this week’s card is for a half-unit on Roman Dolidze (Decision – No Action). At this point, if you are on the Dolidze side of that fight, I would recommend just taking his moneyline at plus money.
At the time I placed that bet, I was still a bit hesitant about the fact Dolidze was taking this fight against Jack Hermansson on such short notice and was worried if his cardio would hold up for a decision.
Since then, I have grown much more comfortable with Dolidze to hopefully get the job done in that fight, whether it’s inside the distance or via the judge’s scorecards.
I would also like to remind everyone to make sure to shop around for the best available odds if you are using multiple sportsbooks.
For example, the Start Round 2 play for the Tuivasa/Pavlovich fight can be had on FanDuel at better odds (+142) than when I placed my bet earlier this week at DraftKings when prop markets first opened.
For the multi-sport parlays, I love Tyson Fury today as he faces Derek Chisora for a third time in their careers. Fury won both of the previous fights with a unanimous decision in the first fight and a 10th round knockout in the second matchup.
Fury has been levels above his competition in recent years and doesn’t seem to be slowing down. I expect he will find an even earlier finish this time around since he has a pretty good idea of how his opponent will operate at this point.
The Fury ML is pretty much unplayable in the -2500 range at most sportsbooks, but you can stick with Tyson Fury by KO/TKO at odds closer to -350 for a safer alternative to the line I chose.
The rest of the lines on both tickets are a mix of plays that I like for UFC Orlando tonight and intend to run again as three leg plays if for some reason Fury doesn’t find a finish in the first half of his fight this afternoon.
If things just get off to a horrendous start and are looking rough early in the night, I trust the main event as the safest place to bring some money back by either betting the Over 2.5 Rounds or on Kevin Holland to win outright.
For more detailed information on my thoughts for each fight at UFC Orlando tonight, also be sure to check out the OddSmokerMMA Picks & Predictions and Favorite Bets for Every Fight posts.
As usual, pick and choose the spots where you are most comfortable. If you are tailing any of these plays or already on some of these bets, best of luck tonight and let’s make some money!
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