It’s almost time for UFC London and we’ve got an action-packed lineup on the way tomorrow with an early start time, with prelims for this one set to kickoff at 1PM ET/10AM PT.

The lineup features 13 matchups and will be headlined by what should be an excellent matchup between Movsar Evloev and Lerone Murphy in the featherweight division.

One fight was cancelled during weigh-ins by the commission after Luana Carolina missed the mark by a whopping eight pounds for her matchup against Melissa Mullins.

Ravena Oliveira came in a half pound over the limit, but her matchup with Shanelle Dyer will proceed and she’ll be fined 25% of her fight purse.

UFC London Picks & Predictions

My favorite picks for UFC London are Michael Page, Iwo Baraniewski, Mario Pinto and Movsar Evloev.

My favorite potential betting underdog is Nathaniel Wood after the Shem Rock line flipped and Mullins was cancelled.

MVP is getting a significant step back in competition with this matchup against Sam Patterson and I expect him to have his best showing in the UFC to date.

Patterson has looked solid in his last few outings but is taking a big leap up the ladder with this one. Page should be able to control the range, stay upright and likely land a big shot at some point for a KO/TKO win.

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Baraniewski is coming into his second UFC appearance off an entertaining brawl in his debut against Ibo Aslan and will likely find himself in another one here against Austen Lane.

I think Iwo will look to close the distance and get in the face of Lane from the opening bell to negate being at a height/size disadvantage. At that point, once he lands big, I expect it to end shortly afterward.

Pinto has looked like one of the better prospects in the heavyweight division going 2-0 so far and gets an excellent opportunity to move to 3-0 here against the debuting Felipe Franco.

Franco looked rough on DWCS last season, gassing out after a quick start and eventually losing in the third round.

Just looking competent in this short notice spot would be a “win” for Franco in my opinion, but I think Pinto will get this one done with a KO/TKO finish down the stretch or on the cards.

Evloev and Murphy are a combined 36-0-1 in their respective careers heading into this matchup, and while I think it will be fairly close, Evloev should get the job done and stay close to a title shot.

Murphy will likely steal a round or two with damage, and maybe even a scorecard fighting at home, but I think Evloev will run up the takedown numbers and do just enough damage of his own to squeeze out a close decision win.

UFC London Betting Card

For the betting card this weekend, I have three prop bets open and a pair of three-leg parlays.

The prop bets are Shem Rock by Submission (+385 for .25 units), Page by KO/TKO (+185 for 1 unit) and Evloev/Murphy to End by Split/Majority Decision (+600 for .25 units).

The parlays are Dyer to Win in R3/Decision + Kurtis Campbell ML + Evloev ML (+198 for 1 unit) and Baraniewski ML/Method KO/TKO Same Game Parlay + Page ML + Murphy +13.5 Alt Spread (+210 for 1 unit).

That’s a total of five bets for 3.5 units on the tracked betting card.

Important reminder to always make sure you’re shopping your betting lines, even within the same sportsbook.

Certain plays are often listed in multiple variations on the same book (or can be crafted via SGPs), and sometimes at slightly different lines.

There was a significant difference this time grabbing it as a SGP on DraftKings instead of just running the method, so thought it was worth mentioning.

As I said, I expect the main event to be fairly close, so thought the Split/Majority line was worth a sprinkle and also feel like we have a good chance of hitting on both Evloev ML and the Murphy alternate spread unless there’s a finish.

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We had a decent outing on the bets for UFC Vegas 114 last weekend, ending up +1.46 units on the night and getting us a bit closer to being in the green for 2026 after the slow start.

As I mentioned in the picks last week, I’ll be making some small adjustments to the betting style over the coming weeks, including more one-unit plays.

We’re also fully caught up on the OddSmokerMMA Bet Tracker dating back to mid-2023, so check it out. There are picks and bets available here on the website for another nine months prior, but I wasn’t giving out full betting cards with units.

Announcements & Wrap Up

We’re extremely excited to announce we’re partnering up with Springfield V&C to properly deliver the smoke to each other’s respective communities in our own unique ways.

As a part of this move, we’ll have a select handful of our custom fight shirts available for purchase in store, so if you’re in the Springfield, Missouri area, be sure to check them out!

They sponsor Julius Walker and numerous other fighters in the area, as well as Synergy FC events, and we couldn’t be happier to be working with them moving forward.

We’re also currently running a free giveaway on our Instagram for an autographed shirt from our recent merch collab with Julius, so be sure to enter for a chance to win.

Big thank you to everyone who has continued to support and help us grow, making more of these opportunities possible.

As an extra thank you to the ones still reading, I forgot to drop my UFC Freedom 250 futures parlay last week, so here it is: O’Malley ML + Gane ML + Topuria ML (+195 for 1 unit).

I’ll be rooting for Alex Pereira to make history with a title in a 3rd UFC weight class, but Gane is a very tough fighter to catch in his heavyweight debut.

Overall, tomorrow’s card should be a lot of fun and there’s potential we’ll see a few of the local UK fighters pull off statement, highlight reel wins. Next weekend we have UFC Seattle to finish out the month before a loaded April slate.

As always, best of luck on the bets and hope everyone enjoys the fights!

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