UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 – Picks, Predictions, Betting Card & More

It’s Fight Day for UFC 326 and we have an absolute banger leading the way from Las Vegas with Max Holloway defending his UFC BMF title against Charles Oliveira in the main event!

We have 12 fights on the lineup after Jeong Yeong Lee was unable to make weight and his matchup with Gaston Bolanos was subsequently cancelled. The remaining 24 fighters all successfully made weight for the card.

My favorite UFC 326 picks are Raul Rosas Jr, Donte Johnson, Max Holloway and Caio Borralho. My favorite potential betting upsets on this one are Cody Garbrandt and Cody Durden.

Rosas Jr is getting a decent step up in competition against Rob Font but love this spot for him. Barring a Font KO in the opening exchanges, I think Rosas Jr will be able to get this on the ground and have his way from there.

Font’s takedown defense is less than ideal, and we’ve seen him grounded out by a one-armed Cory Sandhagen for 25 minutes in the past. I expect Rosas Jr to find the submission at some point.

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Johnson and Cody Brundage will make UFC history tonight by becoming the first UFC fight televised on CBS, and I think the matchmakers put this one together expecting a big-time finish. I expect Johnson to get it done by KO/TKO.

Holloway’s takedown defense is going to get tested in this one, but unless Oliveira can have some success and find a submission along the way, it’s hard to see Max losing this one.

Despite Oliveira improving on the feet, I don’t think he can match the volume of Holloway and likely gets out struck down the stretch for a decision loss or late KO/TKO stoppage.

Borralho couldn’t get takedowns in his last fight against Nassourdine Imavov and couldn’t match him on the feet in a one-sided decision loss, but I think he’ll have more success here against RDR.

Borralho should be able to control the distance here on the feet and strike from range to squeeze out a decision win and could potentially make it look easy if there’s any still lingering issues with RDR’s cardio/health.

For the UFC 326 bets, I have a handful of prop bets and a couple of parlays open on the tracked betting card.

The prop bets are Luke Fernandez by Decision (+450 for .25 units), Dober/Johnson to End by Split/Majority Decision (+700 for .25 units) Garbrandt by Decision (+325 for .25 units), Rosas Jr by Submission (+350 for .5 units) and Holloway by Decision (+260 for .5 units).

The parlays are Garbrandt ML + Rosas Jr ML + Borralho ML + Holloway ML (+549 for .5 units) and Rosas Jr ML + de Ridder +7.5 Alt Spread + Holloway/Oliveira Over 2.5 Rounds (+256 for.5 units).

I think Fernandez will look good and land the bigger shots against Bellato, but if he doesn’t put him away early, I think there’s a good chance this sees the scorecards.

If you want a good sweat tonight, run something on Dober/Johnson making it to the cards. I expect this to be a back-and-forth close fight, and if it does end up with the judges, there’s a good chance we see a split.

It’s probably win or retire time here for Garbrandt, and hopefully he can take advantage of a decent matchup to grind out a win either on the cards or by KO/TKO.

I really love the Rosas Jr spot and might go back in for a little more untracked since it’s up to +400 on DraftKings. He should be able to overpower Font to and on the ground, and if he makes it to his back, this one is over.

Another one I’ll be sweating out is the main event lasting 25 minutes, but as I mentioned earlier, I expect Holloway to get this one done via volume and think Oliveira can most likely survive to the scorecards.

That’s a total of 7 bets for 2.75 units on our UFC 326 tracked betting card. Last week, we came up .5 units short on UFC Mexico and continued a pretty slow start with the bets for 2026. Hopefully we can get back on track with this one.

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Overall, this should be a really fun card from start to finish with a ton of potential for some highlight reel finishes.

Also be sure to keep an eye out during the broadcast for Dana White to finally announce the UFC White House lineup. As of yesterday, it looked to feature six matchups, including a pair of title fights.

However, White announced last night that they have already lost a fight, so we might be down to five barring a late addition being made today prior to the announcement.

As always, best of luck on the bets and hope everyone enjoys the fights!

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