UFC Vegas 75 takes place later today featuring twelve fights and will be headlined by a middleweight clash between Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier in the main event. Two fights fell off the card during fight week, but all 24 remaining fighters made weight for today’s card. On paper, this looks like it should be a pretty entertaining card and expecting a handful of finishes inside the smaller Apex octagon.

While the winner of Vettori and Cannonier doesn’t stand to gain much in the rankings with each having recent losses to Israel Adesanya and Robert Whittaker, the loser of this one could take a sizeable tumble down the rankings as the promotion looks to inject some fresh life into the middleweight division. And after struggling to find opponents recently, Arman Tsarukyan will be looking to make a statement in the co-main event against Joaquim Silva and solidify himself in the contender conversation at lightweight.

My favorite picks on this card are Marvin Vettori, Arman Tsarukyan by KO/TKO, Alessandro Costa, and Tereza Bleda. Tsarukyan is a massive betting favorite on this card with a moneyline hovering in the -1200 range, so in order to get better value on him, I would recommend playing him to win via KO/TKO at a much lower line (around -135). Silva has two of his three losses via that method, and I think Tsarukyan will be able to put him away here via some nasty ground and pound once he gets Silva to the ground.

For my thoughts on how the main event might play out, be sure to check out my WagerWire article for this event: UFC Vegas 75 Vettori vs Cannonier – Pick, Prediction & Favorite Prop Bets. As for my other two crown picks, I expect Bleda to pick up her win via decision or late submission and I think Costa will win via KO/TKO in the first or second rounds. My favorite potential betting upset picks on this card are Lucas Almeida, Armen Petrosyan, and Kyung Ho Kang.

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